IMMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM NEGATIVE IMPACTS OF COVID - 19 ON TOURISM
Keywords:
tourism, Covid- 19, fears, SerbiaAbstract
In the previous ten years, tourism has proven to be one of the most profitable branches in Serbia, and most of this growth came due to the growth of foreign tourist overnight stays, which doubled compared to 2010. With the number of tourists, tourism revenues grew, as and employment in this sector. In addition, domestic tourists remain dominant in this sector, and tourist potentials outside several major tourist destinations. In Serbia, 1,525 people have lost their jobs in travel agencies since March due to the coronavirus epidemic, while for years the state has given one billion and eight hundred million dinars to travel agencies alone in order to help. Quarantine measures that limit travel and transportation, but also normal business and production, have a direct impact on the industry. The Association of Travel Agencies (UTAS) and the Association of Independent Travel Agencies (ANTAS) have warned that about 4,000 travel workers will lose their jobs due to the corona virus pandemic that has caused the cancellation of many arrangements. The authors of the paper conducted a research with the aim of determining how Covid - 19 will directly and in the long run influence the decision on tourist travel. Fear of infection on the trip, or fear of losing a job, are the hidden pathways through which Covid-19 affects tourism. The research was conducted in the period from March to July 2020, through an online survey, and data processed in the SPSS software, version 26.00. Based on the descriptive statistical analysis, the strength and persistence of both types of fear were determined in 610 respondents, as well as the fact that fears can predict the score on the criterion variable decision for traveling, which was determined by multiple regression analysis.
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